jay asked in Politics & GovernmentElections · 8 months ago

The Final Six in the race for president?

What are the chances that Andrew Yang, Elizabeth Warren, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders and Pete Buttigeg are the final six in the race for 2020 President?


Against Trump

5 Answers

  • Tmess2
    Lv 7
    8 months ago
    Favourite answer

    I am not sure that there will be a "final six" in any significant sense.  In the modern primary system, candidates start dropping out as soon as it becomes clear that they do not have the votes to be viable and do not have the money to continue,  Calling it a final 6 because candidate #7 drops out the day after New Hampshire and candidate #6 drops out two days after New Hampshire is not a meaningful final six.  On the other hand, if only six candidates are running on Super Tuesday then you have a meaningful final six.

    Given where the candidates currently stand, there are two groups -- candidates who have previously or currently held office and self-funded candidates.  Of those who have held, the five candidates that you have listed are currently the top five in the polls and are the most likely to still be running in early February and early March.  

    Of the self-funded candidates (Yang, Steyer, and Bloomberg), Yang is currently doing the best in the polls, but the issue is how much of their own money they want to burn before acknowledging that Democrats are unlikely to nominate a businessman when they are complaining that the businessman currently in the White House is not following the rules (both unwritten and written).

    So that is a plausible list of the last six in the contest, but the reality is that the last six depends on the personal decision of the candidate as to their chances to win and their willingness to keep going and hope something changes.  It's not entirely based on candidates having to do X at any particular stage to continue.

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  • don
    Lv 5
    8 months ago

    Trump will win with 350 electoral votes no matter which squad of worthless commies are left.

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  • Foofa
    Lv 7
    8 months ago

    Yang and Harris aren't even polling in the double digits in their home state...take that for what it's worth.

    • jay8 months agoReport

      Even when Kamala Harris beats up Joe Biden.

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  • Anonymous
    8 months ago

    Who cares, they're obviously going to lose to Trump, unless demographics have gone so far that White people, AKA Republicans, already can't win elections anymore.

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  • 8 months ago

    There will be an official DNC nominee for President and it will be one person. It will not be six people.   

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