By the year 2000, climate scientists made 8 predictions. Were they right or wrong?

1. Within a few years "children just aren't going to know what snow is." Snowfall will be "a very rare and exciting event." Dr. David Viner, senior research scientist at the climatic research unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia, interviewed by the UK Independent, March 20, 2000.

2. "[By] 1995, the greenhouse effect would be desolating the heartlands of North America and Eurasia with horrific drought, causing crop failures and food riots…[By 1996] The Platte River of Nebraska would be dry, while a continent-wide black blizzard of prairie topsoil will stop traffic on interstates, strip paint from houses and shut down computers." Michael Oppenheimer, published in "Dead Heat," St. Martin's Press, 1990.

3. "Arctic specialist Bernt Balchen says a general warming trend over the North Pole is melting the polar ice cap and may produce an ice-free Arctic Ocean by the year 2000." Christian Science Monitor, June 8, 1972.

4. "Using computer models, researchers concluded that global warming would raise average annual temperatures nationwide two degrees by 2010." Associated Press, May 15, 1989.

5. "By 1985, air pollution will have reduced the amount of sunlight reaching earth by one half." Life magazine, January 1970.

6. "If present trends continue, the world will be ... eleven degrees colder by the year 2000. This is about twice what it would take to put us in an ice age." Kenneth E.F. Watt, in "Earth Day," 1970.

7. "By the year 2000 the United Kingdom will be simply a small group of impoverished islands, inhabited by some 70 million hungry people ... If I were a gambler, I would take even money that England will not exist in the year 2000." Ehrlich, Speech at British Institute For Biology, September 1971.

8. "In ten years all important animal life in the sea will be extinct. Large areas of coastline will have to be evacuated because of the stench of dead fish." Ehrlich, speech during Earth Day, 1970

7 Answers

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  • Anonymous
    7 years ago
    Favourite answer

    This bits true

    "By the year 2000 the United Kingdom will be simply a small group of impoverished islands, inhabited by some 70 million hungry people"

    But that's always been true

  • 7 years ago

    So you can't be bothered to ask your own questions, but do a cut and paste dump from Fox News http://www.foxnews.com/scitech/2010/12/30/botched-... expecting others to waste their time to answer that many question only for you to pick an answer that fits your climate change denial. I don't think so. If you really really want answers may I suggest you put them up one at a time in the Global Warming section of Yahoo Answers. I guarantee you will get the answers to those questions.

    BTW, #5 resulted in the formation of the EPA and problem was corrected.

    J. H. Ludwig, G. B. Morgan, T. B. McMullen, Eos Trans. Amer. Geophys. Union 51, 468 (1970).

  • 7 years ago

    Climate science is a new field. With better data gathering, more powerful computers, and amazingly good remote sensing, today's models of climate are far, far more accurate than those of even ten years ago.

    A person with no perspective in the field might indeed expect the failures of past models to still be incorporated into newer models - which is where you find yourself.

    But, as you do research, you will see how data accuracy, increase in data points, and better computer modeling has increased the accuracy, as well as precision, of climate change.

    People not as educated as yourself think that this month's cold temperatures seem to contradict the models of climate change. In fact, you may not be aware that in my region of the US, climate change will make our weather colder.

  • Anonymous
    7 years ago

    You're looking for reason to remain ignorant. What's sad is that you haven't even bothered to lookk at the scientific research done, haven't even tryed to understand the science behind global warming or the effects

    Fyi ...see the data for yourself....a link to multiple research studies done by government agencies and independent climate studies in 2013 alone

    http://www.nature.com/nclimate/research/index.html

    It might help to actually educate yourself on what you're critisizing.. just saying

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  • 7 years ago

    I'm not going to answer that because I'm going outside to make an arctic votex-man and throw some vortex balls at passer-bys.

  • Jay
    Lv 7
    7 years ago

    Then how do explain all of the predictions that HAVE come true. Many more than 8.

    See here:

    http://theconversation.com/20-years-on-climate-cha...

    http://www.rawstory.com/rs/2013/03/27/climate-chan...

    http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2013/mar/27...

    http://www.livescience.com/25367-first-ipcc-climat...

    And so forth...

    My guess is that you will FAIL to address the fact that many predictions have come true. Right?

  • Anonymous
    7 years ago

    scientists made a lot more than 8... they made thousands... some came true... some did not...

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